Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.000108 0.000119 0.000130 0.000143 0.000158 0.000174 0.000193
2026-01-04 0.000088 0.000104 0.000123 0.000145 0.000173 0.000206 0.000247
2026-01-11 0.000074 0.000092 0.000114 0.000144 0.000181 0.000228 0.000292
2026-01-18 0.000065 0.000085 0.000110 0.000144 0.000191 0.000252 0.000341
2026-01-25 0.000058 0.000078 0.000104 0.000142 0.000196 0.000270 0.000381
2026-02-01 0.000052 0.000073 0.000100 0.000142 0.000203 0.000290 0.000428
2026-02-08 0.000047 0.000067 0.000096 0.000139 0.000206 0.000305 0.000467
2026-02-15 0.000043 0.000062 0.000091 0.000136 0.000207 0.000317 0.000503
2026-02-22 0.000040 0.000060 0.000089 0.000137 0.000215 0.000339 0.000558
2026-03-01 0.000038 0.000058 0.000089 0.000140 0.000225 0.000366 0.000622
2026-03-08 0.000035 0.000054 0.000085 0.000136 0.000225 0.000375 0.000658
2026-03-15 0.000032 0.000050 0.000080 0.000132 0.000223 0.000380 0.000685
2026-03-22 0.000030 0.000049 0.000079 0.000133 0.000230 0.000404 0.000753
2026-03-29 0.000028 0.000047 0.000078 0.000134 0.000238 0.000431 0.000829
2026-04-05 0.000026 0.000044 0.000075 0.000132 0.000241 0.000447 0.000887
2026-04-12 0.000025 0.000043 0.000074 0.000133 0.000248 0.000472 0.000968
2026-04-19 0.000023 0.000041 0.000071 0.000131 0.000250 0.000487 0.001029
2026-04-26 0.000022 0.000039 0.000070 0.000130 0.000255 0.000510 0.001109
2026-05-03 0.000021 0.000037 0.000067 0.000128 0.000256 0.000523 0.001170
2026-05-10 0.000019 0.000035 0.000065 0.000125 0.000255 0.000533 0.001225
2026-05-17 0.000019 0.000034 0.000064 0.000126 0.000263 0.000563 0.001330
2026-05-24 0.000018 0.000034 0.000064 0.000129 0.000273 0.000599 0.001458
2026-05-31 0.000017 0.000032 0.000061 0.000126 0.000271 0.000607 0.001515